Quite an influx today with widespread double-figure flocks of up to 50+. Mainly in the southern half of Britain but 18 have reached Belvide Res, Staffs. So maybe...

Cheers, John

It's started!

One in Cork today....

Will report back pete on your prediction, and let you know how many terns....... Turn UP!

According to the BBC long range weather a ridge of low pressure should form on Thursday over southern Europe.This should result in S.E. airflow straight off central Europe,classic Black Tern fall conditions on Thurs and Fri.,Audenshaw and Pennington usually get the biggest numbers if a fall occurs.Worth keeping your eye on the weather forecast later in the week. Pete Berry if anybody wants to check it out,log on to BBC weather,then coast and sea,then Atlantic pressure charts,these give a 5 day prediction of whats supposedly going to happen.